๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฏ๐ ๐๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฝ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ ๐ก๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด You've heard the forecasts: mass displacement, white-collar extinction, a jobless decade. But two-plus years in, the data mostly isn't there.
- No systematic rise in unemployment for highly AI-exposed workers
- No clear upward trend in how AI-exposed their old jobs were
- Wages in exposed occupations aren't uniformly falling
So why not? AI is automating the cheap part of software, but that was never the bottleneck.
- The marginal cost of producing a line of code is collapsing toward zero
- But software projects were never gated by the cost of producing code
- They're gated by things AI doesn't touch: knowing what to build, coordination, verification, integration, and maintenance
The problem is that AI is worst at the last 20-30% of a piece of work: correctness, integration, and being accountable.
- A job is not a stack of independent tasks you can hand off one at a time
- It's a system of interdependent judgment โ and you cannot autocomplete your way through a system
Source: https://dev.to/xenral/the-ai-jobs-apocalypse-keeps-not-happening-heres-the-math-4e5g Optional learning community: https://t.me/GyaanSetuAi