𝗠𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗼𝗼𝗻 𝗣𝗲𝗿𝗳𝗼𝗿𝗺𝗮𝗻𝗰𝗲 𝗮𝗻𝗱 𝗜𝗻𝗱𝗶𝗮 𝗘𝗰𝗼𝗻𝗼𝗺𝘆 𝗥𝗶𝘀𝗸𝘀 𝟮𝟬𝟮𝟲
The National Stock Exchange (NSE) identifies monsoon patterns and El Niño as primary risks for the 2026 Indian economy.
Monsoon and Economic Risks
- The India Meteorological Department forecasts South-West monsoon at 90 per cent of the long-period average.
- There is a 60 per cent chance of deficient rainfall.
- There is a 24 per cent chance of below-normal rainfall.
- Northwest India faces a 46 per cent probability of below-normal rain.
- The South Peninsula faces a 45 per cent probability of below-normal rain.
- Central India and the Monsoon Core Zone face a 43 per cent probability of below-normal rain.
- Deficient rainfall impacts agricultural output, reservoir levels, and food inflation.
Investor Base Growth
- The registered investor base reached 13.1 crore by May 2026.
- The investor base grew at a 25.3 per cent compound annual growth rate between FY21 and FY26.
- North India holds 36.7 per cent of the investor share.
- States outside the top 10 represent 27 per cent of the investor base.
- Investors below age 30 increased from 23.5 per cent in 2020 to 38.3 per cent in 2026.
- The median investor age fell from 38 to 33 years.
- Women represent 25 per cent of individual investors as of April 2026.
Market Concentration
- A small group of investors drives most trading activity.
- The top 2.6 per cent of cash market investors provide 92.3 per cent of total turnover.
- Investors trading Rs 10 crore or more make up 0.3 per cent of active investors but contribute 79.4 per cent of cash market turnover.
- In equity options, the top 0.3 per cent of investors account for 69 per cent of premium turnover.
- In equity futures, the top 7.8 per cent of investors contribute 93.3 per cent of turnover.
Source: The Times of India