Nifty将在2026年达到28,000点：Monarch Networth精选优质股票

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Nifty 将在 2026 年达到 28,000 点：Monarch Networth 精选优质股票

券商 Monarch Networth Capital 发布了对印度股市的高度看涨展望，预计到 2026 日历年，Nifty 指数将达到 27,000–28,000 点的区间。这一乐观预测基于企业盈利的预期复苏以及私营部门资本支出的强劲周期。

Nifty 看涨前景的驱动因素

Monarch Networth 认为，尽管近期市场出现波动且外国机构投资者 (FIIs) 持续抛售，但印度的结构性增长故事依然具有韧性。Monarch Networth Capital 首席执行官 Gaurav Bhandari 表示，若以基本面衡量，近期大盘股板块的调整似乎有些过度。

该券商提供了具体的盈利预测来支持其观点，预计 2027 财年 Nifty 的每股收益 (EPS) 为 1,251，到 2028 财年将升至 1,443。预计这一增长将受到 PLI 计划、GST 和基础设施投资等关键结构性改革的推动。此外，前 500 家上市非金融公司的企业资本支出 (capex) 与疫情前水平相比几乎翻了一番，达到约 10 万亿卢比，预示着国内扩张阶段的强劲到来。

行业领军者：银行、电信和 IT

下一阶段的牛市行情预计将由近期因 FII 流出而表现不佳的板块领衔。Monarch 将金融、电信和技术行业确定为指数复苏的主要驱动力。

虽然大盘 IT 股预计将经历逐渐复苏，但银行业有望从企业资产负债表的增强中受益。此外，该券商预计中盘股和盘小股板块将出现显著波动。在利率周期宽松、融资成本降低并提高经营杠杆的支持下，Nifty Midcap 150 预计将达到 25,595，而 Nifty Smallcap 250 预计将攀升至约 19,640。

三大首选股票推荐

Monarch Networth 根据独特的增长催化剂，确定了三只具有吸引力的风险回报比的特定股票：

State Bank of India (SBI): The brokerage views SBI as a value play. Despite delivering profitability metrics comparable to top-tier private banks, SBI continues to trade at a valuation discount. Growth is expected to be driven by strong asset quality, healthy loan growth, and potential value unlocking from its subsidiaries.
HFCL: Positioned as a play on India's digital infrastructure, HFCL is expected to benefit from the 5G rollout, data center expansion, and rising fiber demand. The company's strong order book and growing export business provide a solid foundation for an earnings turnaround.
Hindustan Copper: As India’s only vertically integrated copper producer, this state-run miner is set to benefit from rising domestic demand. Its "Vision 2030" strategy and expansion plans make it a strong candidate for long-term capital appreciation.

Key Takeaways

Nifty Target: Monarch Networth projects Nifty to hit 27,000–28,000 by 2026, supported by EPS growth reaching 1,443 by FY28.
Growth Catalysts: A massive ₹10 lakh crore capex by top non-financial companies and a potential rate-cut cycle will drive market momentum.
Top Picks: SBI (banking), HFCL (telecom/infrastructure), and Hindustan Copper (commodities) are the brokerage's preferred investment ideas.