Wall Street Rebounds: US Stocks Rise as US-Iran Deal Lowers Oil Prices

Wall Street staged a significant recovery on Thursday, erasing much of the previous session's losses as geopolitical tensions eased and energy costs declined. The rebound was primarily fueled by a landmark US-Iran agreement, which triggered a sharp drop in crude oil prices and lifted investor confidence across major indices.

Geopolitical Calm Drives Energy and Market Rally

The primary catalyst for the market's upward movement was the initial agreement between Washington and Tehran to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz. This deal initiates a 60-day negotiating process focused on a final settlement regarding Iran's nuclear program. Under the terms, Iran is permitted to resume oil exports via the waiver of US-backed sanctions, while Tehran has committed to diluting its stockpile of highly enriched uranium.

This diplomatic breakthrough had an immediate impact on the energy sector. Brent crude fell by $1.19 to $78.36 a barrel, while the US benchmark crude dropped $1.56 to $74.45 a barrel. While prices remain above the pre-war level of $70, they have retreated significantly from the $100-plus peaks seen just weeks ago. The lower energy costs provided a tailwind for travel-related stocks, with Delta Air Lines, United Airlines, and American Airlines gaining between 1.5% and 2%, while cruise operators like Royal Caribbean and Carnival rose by more than 2%.

Tech Giants Lead the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Gains

The S&P 500 rose by 1% in early trade, and the Nasdaq Composite advanced 1.2%, driven largely by a surge in the technology sector. Intel emerged as a major winner, with its stock jumping 8.7% after President Donald Trump announced that the chipmaker had agreed to manufacture chips for Apple within the United States. This news follows reports of potential price hikes by Apple due to ongoing memory chip shortages.

In contrast, the space sector saw some volatility. SpaceX extended its recent decline, falling 3.2% in premarket trading following a 4.9% drop on Wednesday.

Meskipun terjadi reli, investor tetap berhati-hati terhadap kebijakan moneter Federal Reserve AS. Pasar masih mencerna sinyal dari pertemuan kebijakan terbaru, di mana sembilan dari 18 anggota komite penetap suku bunga memberikan sinyal dukungan untuk suku bunga yang lebih tinggi tahun ini guna memerangi inflasi yang persisten. Khususnya, enam anggota mendukung kenaikan dua kali atau lebih sebesar seperempat poin.

Meskipun Ketua Fed Kevin Warsh tidak memberikan prakiraan spesifik untuk tahun 2026, fokusnya pada peningkatan cara bank sentral berkomunikasi dengan pasar menunjukkan periode kewaspadaan tinggi bagi investor yang memantau lintasan suku bunga.

Sentimen Pasar Global

Optimisme yang terlihat di AS tercermin di sebagian wilayah Asia, meskipun pasar Eropa cenderung melemah. Nikkei 225 Jepang naik 1,7% ke penutupan rekor di level 71.053,49, didukung oleh antusiasme terkait AI dan harapan akan pemulihan ekonomi. Kospi Korea Selatan juga mencapai rekor tertinggi, naik 2,3% didorong oleh raksasa teknologi Samsung Electronics dan SK Hynix. Sementara itu, indeks Eropa seperti DAX Jerman dan FTSE 100 Inggris mengalami sedikit penurunan.

Poin-Poin Penting

  • Dampak Geopolitik: Kesepakatan AS-Iran untuk membuka kembali Selat Hormuz telah berhasil menurunkan harga minyak, memberikan keringanan bagi sektor-sektor yang sensitif terhadap energi seperti penerbangan dan perjalanan.
  • Kekuatan Sektor Teknologi: Lonjakan 8,7% Intel menyusul pengumuman manufaktur Apple menjadi pendorong utama kenaikan Nasdaq sebesar 1,2%.
  • Pemantauan Kebijakan Moneter: Meskipun pasar mengalami pemulihan, mayoritas anggota Fed mendukung kenaikan suku bunga lebih lanjut tahun ini untuk mengelola inflasi, sehingga menjaga potensi volatilitas tetap tinggi.