随着廉价原油运抵印度,汽油和柴油价格可能会下跌

联邦石油和天然气部长 Hardeep Singh Puri 表示,零售汽油和柴油价格在不久的将来可能会有所下降。这一潜在的降价取决于目前印度炼油厂正在处理的低价原油货物的运抵。

原油成本与零售价格之间的滞后

在北方邦松巴德拉举行的新闻发布会上,部长 Hardeep Singh Puri 解释说,目前的零售价格反映的是较早时期、价格较高的原油库存。石油营销公司 (OMCs) 目前正在处理在全球市场剧烈波动期间购买的库存。

“目前,各公司持有的是以较高价格购买的原油库存。当以较低价格购买的原油运抵时,燃油价格有可能下降,”Puri 表示。这表明,尽管国际原油价格已经回落,但在这些降价红利惠及加油站终端消费者之前,时间上的滞后是不可避免的。

政府对国内燃油定价的辩护

在地缘政治紧张局势加剧(特别是在中东和霍尔木兹海峡附近)的背景下,部长为政府对燃油价格的管理进行了辩护。他认为,与世界其他地区相比,印度成功地将价格上涨控制在相对合理的范围内。

Puri 强调了支持这一说法的几个关键因素:

  • 税收吸收: 莫迪政府分别在 2021 年 11 月、2022 年 5 月以及最近,降低了汽油和柴油的中央消费税,承担了每升约 ₹10 的负担。
  • 全球对比: Puri 指出,在 193 个联合国成员国中,只有日本的石油价格涨幅低于印度。
  • 受控的通胀: 他声称,燃油价格的整体涨幅被限制在每升约 ₹7.60 左右,并断言与 2022 年俄乌冲突高峰期相比,价格实际上保持了稳定。

石油营销公司 (OMCs) 面临的压力

尽管政府努力保护消费者,但 OMCs 面临的财务压力依然巨大。部长透露,石油营销公司目前每天面临约 ₹1,000 亿卢比的亏损。

These losses are driven by a combination of elevated crude prices due to West Asian tensions and a weaker rupee, which complicates the economics of fuel imports. While the government has absorbed costs to prevent massive spikes for the public, the widening gap between import costs and retail selling prices continues to squeeze industry margins.

Economic Growth and Regional Development

Beyond energy, the Minister used the visit to highlight significant economic shifts in Uttar Pradesh. He noted that the state's Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) has surged from approximately ₹13 lakh crore in 2016-17 to nearly ₹36 lakh crore. He also pointed to Sonbhadra's transformation, noting its per capita income has risen from ₹43,000 in 2018 to roughly ₹1.2 lakh today, marking its transition from a backward district to a model of development.

Key Takeaways

  • Price Relief Timeline: Petrol and diesel prices may decrease only once the current stocks of expensive crude are exhausted and cheaper shipments reach Indian refineries.
  • Government Intervention: The central government has absorbed nearly ₹10 per litre in excise duties to mitigate the impact of global volatility on Indian consumers.
  • Financial Strain on OMCs: High international crude costs and currency fluctuations are causing OMCs to lose nearly ₹1,000 crore daily.