随着廉价原油运抵印度,汽油和柴油价格可能会下降
联邦石油和天然气部长 Hardeep Singh Puri 表示,印度的零售燃料价格在不久的将来可能会有所下降。这种潜在的降价取决于价格较低的原油库存运抵国内炼油厂,以替换目前的现有高成本库存。
原油成本与零售价格之间的联系
根据部长 Hardeep Singh Puri 的说法,目前的汽油和柴油零售价格仍受到较旧、价格较高的原油库存的影响。石油营销公司 (OMCs) 目前正在处理以较高国际价格购买的库存,这解释了为什么尽管全球原油趋势趋于缓和,但立即降价的情况尚未出现。
“目前,各公司持有以较高价格购买的原油库存。当以较低价格购买的原油运抵时,燃料价格有可能下降,”Puri 在北方邦松布德拉 (Sonbhadra, Uttar Pradesh) 的新闻发布会上表示。这种延迟是炼油行业的一种标准运营现实,因为从高成本原料向低成本原料的过渡需要时间才能反映在加油站的价格上。
在全球波动中捍卫国内定价
部长通过将印度的表现与其他国家进行比较,回应了有关燃料通胀的担忧。他指出,尽管地缘政治紧张局势加剧——特别是在霍尔木兹海峡和中东危机期间——印度仍设法将价格上涨控制在相对有限的范围内。Puri 声称,在 193 个联合国成员国中,只有日本的石油价格涨幅低于印度。
为了保护消费者,政府通过在 2021 年 11 月、2022 年 5 月以及最近降低汽油和柴油的中央消费税进行了积极干预。这些措施有效地为这两种燃料分担了每升约 ₹10 的负担。Puri 强调,虽然自最近的中东危机开始以来,价格上涨了约每升 ₹7.60,但与 2022 年俄乌冲突期间出现的波动相比,整体影响已得到缓解。
石油营销公司面临的财务压力
While the government focuses on consumer protection, the financial strain on OMCs remains significant. The Minister revealed that oil marketing companies are currently facing losses of approximately ₹1,000 crore per day. These losses are driven by the combination of elevated crude prices and a weaker rupee, which together squeeze the margins of refiners and distributors.
Industry experts continue to monitor these margins closely, as the interplay between global energy disruptions and domestic fiscal policy determines whether the government will further subsidize costs or allow OMCs to recover through price adjustments.
Key Takeaways
- Price Reduction Potential: Petrol and diesel rates may decrease once refineries finish processing current high-cost crude and switch to cheaper, recently purchased stocks.
- Government Intervention: The central government has absorbed nearly ₹10 per litre in costs through excise duty cuts to protect consumers from global volatility.
- OMC Financial Strain: Indian oil marketing companies are navigating significant operational challenges, reporting losses of roughly ₹1,000 crore daily due to market pressures.